The battles have been fought, and now the WAR begins. The New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies have made it to the World Series. With the Fall Classic beginning tonight, lets break it down, position by position:
CATCHER:
Jorge Posada vs. Carlos Ruiz
While the Phillies' backstop is a clutch performer and was fantastic in the NLCS, Posada is one of the best offensive catchers in the game. Their defense is about even, so it's Jorge's experience that puts him ahead.
Advantage: Yankees
FIRST BASE:
Mark Teixeira vs. Ryan Howard
I'm going to go about this the same way most pundits have already. Offensively during the season both of these guys were monsters that can be considered MVP candidates. In the post-season, however, it's been Howard who has continued his mashing, while Teixeira has mostly struggled. That said, Teix has contributed mightily with his glove, which has been one of the top factors of the Yanks' October success thus far. He is far and away the better defender, and that, to me, makes this category a wash.
Advantage: Even
SECOND BASE:
Robinson Cano vs. Chase Utley
This is a tough one. Both had great offensive seasons, but both have underperformed in the post. Utley is rumored to be dealing with multiple injuries, but he is more clutch than Cano, and has World Series experience.
Advantage: Phillies
SHORT STOP:
Derek Jeter vs. Jimmy Rollins
Rollins talks a lot, the Captain does not. Both have been offensive spark plugs at the top of their line-ups, but Jeter has had one of his best seasons ever, and it's continued here in October. Rollins may have gotten a ring last year, but Jeter turns it up like no other on both sides of the diamond in October.
Advantage: Yankees
THIRD BASE:
ARod vs. Pedro Feliz
Defensively, these guys are both pretty good, but that is where it ends. ARod is on another planet right now.
Advantage: Yankees
RIGHT FIELD:
Nick Swisher vs. Jayson Werth
In just about every category, the Phils Right Fielder has performed at a MVP-type level this post-season, while Swisher has struggled more than any other Yankee starter. Easy one.
Advantage: Phillies
CENTER FIELD:
Melky Cabrera vs. Shane Victorino
Melky turned it back on in the ALCS, but Victorino is still a small package of baseball goodness, and another spark plug for the Phillies. Still, though, Melky can be counted on late in games to come through in the clutch. Counting various factors together, I'm actually going to call it even.
Advantage: Even
LEFT FIELD:
Johnny Damon vs. Raul Ibanez
Both had good seasons, but Ibanez's post-season hasn't been great. Damon wasn't great in the ALDS, but great in the ALCS. Ibanez is a much better defender. MUCH BETTER.
Advantage: Phillies
DH:
Hideki Matsui vs. Ben Francisco
The Phillies can also swap Ibanez and Francisco here, if so, then the last category can be interchanged as well. In Yankee Stadium, Matsui is the man.
Advantage: Yankees
ACE PITCHER:
CC Sabathia vs. Cliff Lee
The two Indians will face off in three possible match-ups. Both of them have been fantastic so far, winning CC an ALCS MVP award, but the key will be who can survive going on three days rest. Sabathia is the proven horse here.
Advantage: Yankees
THE REST OF THE ROTATION:
The Yanks have reliable veteran Andy Pettitte and A.J. Burnett is still a wild card, and have almost no depth past that. Meanwhile, the Phillies have so many pitchers, Charlie Manuel has got them coming out of the bullpen regularly. That said, the Yanks 3 starters are all better than the Phillies past Lee, but is there an advantage to the Phils numbers?
Advantage: Even
MIDDLE RELIEF:
With all those starters plus their regular crew they have the advantage here, especially since most of the Yankee relievers haven't been that trustworthy. If they can turn that around, then they do have the better bullpen. For now, though, it's the Phils.
Advantage: Phillies
CLOSER:
Mariano Rivera vs. Brad Lidge
While Lidge has bounced back from a miserable season, he's no Mo. Nothing more to say.
Advantage: Yankees
BENCH:
Both the Yankees and Phils have a bopper in Matt Stairs and Eric Hinske sitting there, and both guys have been big in these scenarios. There are also other interesting weapons, but the biggest one can be for the Yankees when they hit Citizen's Bank Park, and that is Matsui off the bench. Now that's a weapon!
Advantage: Yankees
MANAGER:
Joe Giradi vs. Charlie Manuel
I've said a lot about Giradi's managing already, but you have to give it to him for getting his team here. Charlie, though, has gotten them here two years in a row.
Advantage: Phillies
Based on the match-ups above it reads 7-5-3 for the Yankees, but a few of these can sway a bit. Are there intangibles? Of course. The Yanks haven't lost a game yet this October in the new Yankee Stadium, and they have home field advantage. They've also been comeback kids all year, and they never quit. The same can be said about the Phillies, though, so it's going be a fight for sure. The Phillies have also not gone further than 5 games in any series in the last two years.
Either way, the story is going down like this: the world champions defend their title against the return of the retired former champs. Fittingly, it sounds like a Rocky movie, and I do believe the retired former champs will come out on top, but that team will be from NY. My predication? Yankees beat the Phillies in a hard fought 7 games.
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
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2 comments:
Sal-- I agree with you for the most part. Couple things. Victorino is a far better player than Melky, having seen a lot of both of them the last few years-- in fact, when Victorino developed, the Phils became a lot harder to beat. Ibanez's defense is just as awful as Johnny Damon's. And to me, the Series hinges on two things. Does Cole Hamels pitch well? If not, the Phillies go home. Can the Yankee starters go seven innings and hand the ball off to Mo? If so, the Phillies go home. I think this will be Yankees in five.
I generally agree with Victorino, but this year I've seen Melky deliver on big occasions and his defense is pretty good, so I made them even based on that. After Lee last night, the Phillies starters take a dip so the next few games will be very interesting.
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